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2024-12-14 01:20:33

Macy's fell 8.2% before the market, and the company lowered its profit outlook after discovering accounting errors.Broadcom US stocks rose 3.6% before the market, while Apple US stocks rose 0.3% before the market. In the news, Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips.The actual average weekly salary in November in the United States increased by 1% year-on-year. According to the data of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the actual average weekly salary in November increased by 0.3% month-on-month. The actual average hourly wage in November was flat, and the actual average hourly wage in November increased by 1.3% year-on-year. The actual average weekly salary increased by $3.71, reaching $385.99.


The institution is optimistic about these stocks today. On December 11th, as of press time, the institution gave 22 latest buy ratings, among which the target price of 8 stocks was announced:-Steady Medical was optimistic about Huatai Securities, giving a target price of 48.44 yuan; -Hongqi Chain was favored by CITIC Securities, with a target price of 6.80 yuan; -Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, Jinshiyuan, Fulongma and many other stocks are listed.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.


After the release of CPI data, the yield of US Treasury bonds fluctuated and fell, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds reported 4.236%. The yield of two-year US Treasury bonds fell to 4.149%, and the yield curve of 2/10 US Treasury bonds steepened to 8.7 basis points.Treasury yields fell, while the Bloomberg dollar spot index erased gains.The US CPI data is in line with expectations, and the euro zone bonds are basically flat.

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